Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 0.000137 0.000152 0.000168 0.000187 0.000208 0.000230 0.000257
2025-10-19 0.000114 0.000135 0.000158 0.000187 0.000220 0.000259 0.000307
2025-10-26 0.000098 0.000121 0.000150 0.000186 0.000231 0.000286 0.000357
2025-11-02 0.000085 0.000110 0.000142 0.000184 0.000240 0.000310 0.000407
2025-11-09 0.000075 0.000101 0.000136 0.000184 0.000250 0.000337 0.000462
2025-11-16 0.000067 0.000093 0.000130 0.000182 0.000257 0.000359 0.000513
2025-11-23 0.000060 0.000087 0.000125 0.000181 0.000265 0.000384 0.000568
2025-11-30 0.000055 0.000082 0.000121 0.000182 0.000274 0.000410 0.000629
2025-12-07 0.000050 0.000077 0.000116 0.000180 0.000279 0.000431 0.000682
2025-12-14 0.000047 0.000074 0.000115 0.000183 0.000292 0.000464 0.000757
2025-12-21 0.000043 0.000070 0.000112 0.000183 0.000301 0.000492 0.000826
2025-12-28 0.000040 0.000067 0.000109 0.000183 0.000308 0.000515 0.000890
2026-01-04 0.000038 0.000065 0.000108 0.000186 0.000322 0.000554 0.000983
2026-01-11 0.000036 0.000062 0.000106 0.000187 0.000331 0.000584 0.001066
2026-01-18 0.000033 0.000059 0.000104 0.000186 0.000339 0.000612 0.001148
2026-01-25 0.000031 0.000056 0.000100 0.000185 0.000345 0.000637 0.001225
2026-02-01 0.000029 0.000054 0.000098 0.000185 0.000353 0.000667 0.001315
2026-02-08 0.000027 0.000051 0.000095 0.000183 0.000357 0.000690 0.001393
2026-02-15 0.000025 0.000049 0.000093 0.000183 0.000363 0.000718 0.001483
2026-02-22 0.000024 0.000047 0.000091 0.000183 0.000372 0.000750 0.001586
2026-03-01 0.000022 0.000045 0.000089 0.000181 0.000375 0.000773 0.001670
2026-03-08 0.000022 0.000044 0.000088 0.000184 0.000389 0.000817 0.001806
2026-03-15 0.000021 0.000043 0.000087 0.000185 0.000398 0.000854 0.001927